Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-14 0.000182 0.000202 0.000223 0.000247 0.000274 0.000303 0.000338
2025-09-21 0.000144 0.000171 0.000203 0.000243 0.000293 0.000351 0.000427
2025-09-28 0.000117 0.000147 0.000185 0.000234 0.000299 0.000381 0.000495
2025-10-05 0.000104 0.000137 0.000179 0.000237 0.000318 0.000428 0.000588
2025-10-12 0.000095 0.000130 0.000176 0.000243 0.000341 0.000479 0.000694
2025-10-19 0.000085 0.000119 0.000167 0.000239 0.000349 0.000510 0.000773
2025-10-26 0.000079 0.000114 0.000164 0.000242 0.000366 0.000556 0.000879
2025-11-02 0.000072 0.000106 0.000157 0.000240 0.000373 0.000587 0.000966
2025-11-09 0.000067 0.000101 0.000153 0.000240 0.000385 0.000625 0.001068
2025-11-16 0.000062 0.000095 0.000147 0.000237 0.000391 0.000655 0.001160
2025-11-23 0.000056 0.000088 0.000140 0.000229 0.000388 0.000669 0.001224
2025-11-30 0.000053 0.000085 0.000137 0.000231 0.000402 0.000711 0.001347
2025-12-07 0.000051 0.000083 0.000137 0.000236 0.000422 0.000772 0.001519
2025-12-14 0.000047 0.000078 0.000131 0.000232 0.000426 0.000801 0.001631
2025-12-21 0.000043 0.000072 0.000124 0.000223 0.000419 0.000809 0.001701
2025-12-28 0.000041 0.000070 0.000123 0.000226 0.000436 0.000867 0.001890
2026-01-04 0.000039 0.000069 0.000123 0.000232 0.000458 0.000940 0.002126
2026-01-11 0.000037 0.000066 0.000119 0.000228 0.000462 0.000971 0.002268
2026-01-18 0.000035 0.000064 0.000118 0.000231 0.000479 0.001035 0.002503
2026-01-25 0.000033 0.000061 0.000114 0.000228 0.000484 0.001071 0.002673
2026-02-01 0.000032 0.000059 0.000112 0.000228 0.000494 0.001123 0.002892
2026-02-08 0.000030 0.000057 0.000109 0.000226 0.000498 0.001159 0.003078
2026-02-15 0.000028 0.000053 0.000104 0.000219 0.000491 0.001167 0.003181